RANGE Forecasting

Question

Crowd Forecast

Will a ban procedure against the Alternative for Germany (AfD) be initiated by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 12 · 13

6%

Chance

Will the EU-UK "reset'" agreement enter into force by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 9 · 15

70%

Chance

Will Greece and Türkiye hold a new round of official Cyprus talks by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 6 · 9

23%

Chance

Will China seize one or more islands, islets or reefs in the South China Sea by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 8 · 12

1%

Chance

Will Marine Le Pen compete in the 2027 French presidential election?

Closing Dec 31, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 12 · 16

32%

Chance

Will the Syrian government ratify a permanent constitution by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 7 · 9

20%

Chance

Will the United States pass a law regulating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 5 · 8

1%

Chance

Will two or more additional countries sign onto China’s Belt and Road Initiative by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 5 · 10

2%

Chance

Will China, Japan and South Korea hold one or more trilateral economic dialogues by June 30, 2026?

Closing Jun 30, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 4 · 7

99%

Chance

This question was generated as part of a BFNA-ESPI expert decomposition exercise

Will a European astronaut participate in a crewed mission to the lunar surface by December 31, 2028?

Closing Jan 01, 2029 05:01AM UTC · 13 · 24

26%

Chance

Status

Type

Season

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Will a ban procedure against the Alternative for Germany (AfD) be initiated by December 31, 2026?

6%

Will the EU-UK "reset'" agreement enter into force by December 31, 2025?

70%

Will Greece and Türkiye hold a new round of official Cyprus talks by December 31, 2025?

23%

Will China seize one or more islands, islets or reefs in the South China Sea by December 31, 2025?

1%

Will Marine Le Pen compete in the 2027 French presidential election?

32%

Will the Syrian government ratify a permanent constitution by December 31, 2025?

20%

Will the United States pass a law regulating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) by December 31, 2025?

1%

Will two or more additional countries sign onto China’s Belt and Road Initiative by December 31, 2025?

2%

Will China, Japan and South Korea hold one or more trilateral economic dialogues by June 30, 2026?

99%

Will a European astronaut participate in a crewed mission to the lunar surface by December 31, 2028?

26%

Status

Type

Season

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Filter By

Challenges

Tags

6%

70%

23%

1%

32%

20%

1%

2%

99%

26%