Morocco has, for more than a decade, pursued an ambitious energy transition to reduce its dependence on imported fossil fuels and position itself as a regional energy hub. Large-scale solar and wind projects, such as the Noor solar complex and multiple onshore wind farms, have already started to change the country’s electricity mix, with further capacity additions planned.

At the same time, Morocco is physically linked to the European Union through high-voltage submarine interconnectors with Spain across the Strait of Gibraltar. These lines allow electricity to flow in both directions and make it possible for Morocco to export surplus electricity directly into the EU’s interconnected power system. Europe’s strategic push for long-term energy diversification away from Russian fossil fuels and other concentrated

suppliers increases the relevance of such links and strengthens political interest in North African partners, including Morocco.

In parallel, Morocco and the EU are promoting green hydrogen and “Power-to-X” projects as a key element of future energy cooperation. Over the medium to long term, these new carriers could become an important channel for Moroccan renewable energy exports to Europe. However, at present, actual traded volumes of green hydrogen and related products are still very small, and there is no transparent, standardised public statistic for “green

hydrogen exports from Morocco to the EU” that could be used to resolve a forecasting question.

For this reason, this question focuses narrowly on electricity exported from Morocco into the EU (via the interconnectors with Spain) as a measurable and transparently reported proxy for Morocco’s exportable energy surplus to Europe in the second half of the 2020s.

This question will resolve positively if official statistics (EUROSTAT) on cross-border power flows show that Morocco’s gross annual electricity exports to the European Union in calendar year 2026, measured in gigawatt-hours (GWh), are at least 15% higher than Morocco’s  gross annual electricity exports to the European Union in calendar year 2023, also measured in GWh.