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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the EU-UK "reset'" agreement enter into force by December 31, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
16
·
46
21%
Chance
Will Greece and Türkiye hold a new round of official Cyprus talks by December 31, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
12
·
30
6%
Chance
Will China seize one or more islands, islets or reefs in the South China Sea by December 31, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
11
·
33
0%
Chance
Will the Syrian government ratify a permanent constitution by December 31, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
13
·
30
3%
Chance
Will the United States pass a law regulating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) by December 31, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
12
·
36
1%
Chance
Will two or more additional countries sign onto China’s Belt and Road Initiative by December 31, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
12
·
33
2%
Chance
Will China blockade and/or invade Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2024 and Dec 17, 2024)
Closed
Dec 17, 2024 05:01AM UTC
·
14
·
20
0%
Chance
Will Serbia and Kosovo engage in a lethal armed conflict in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2024 and Dec 17, 2024)
Closed
Dec 17, 2024 05:01AM UTC
·
8
·
11
0%
Chance
Will the EU and UK combined boast a larger AI talent pool than China in 2024?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
9
·
23
50%
Chance
Will an EU Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) decision be reached through the process of Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) by December 31st, 2025?
Closed
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
61
·
150
7%
Chance
1
2
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