RANGE Forecasting

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Astropolitics (4) only
BRICS 2023 (1) only
Geopolitics (6) only
Technology (1) only
Trade & Economics (1) only

Crowd Forecast

Will a European astronaut participate in a crewed mission to the lunar surface by December 31, 2028?

Closing Jan 01, 2029 05:01AM UTC · 8 · 8

23%

Chance

Will a NASA budget that includes an “Exploration” line item of at least $8.3 billion become law by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 4 · 4

11%

Chance

Will U.S. or Chinese military personnel operate any infrastructure on the Moon or in lunar orbit by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 7 · 7

1%

Chance

Will the percentage of arms imported by European NATO member states from the United States fall below 60% by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC · 43 · 46

34%

Chance

Will the amount of annual EU member state Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into the United States fall below $2.8 trillion by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC · 34 · 37

40%

Chance

Will the United States announce that it will reduce the number of troops stationed in European NATO member states by 15,000 or more by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 23 · 32

20%

Chance