RANGE Forecasting

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Astropolitics (4) only
BRICS 2023 (1) only
Democracy (1) only
Geopolitics (10) only
Indo-Pacific (2) only
Technology (2) only
Trade & Economics (3) only

Crowd Forecast

Will the EU-UK "reset'" agreement enter into force by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 3 · 3

94%

Chance

Will China seize one or more islands, islets or reefs in the South China Sea by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 2 · 2

1%

Chance

Will Marine Le Pen compete in the 2027 French presidential election?

Closing Dec 31, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 2 · 2

73%

Chance

Will the Syrian government ratify a permanent constitution by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 1 · 1

27%

Chance

Will the United States pass a law regulating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 2 · 2

1%

Chance

Will two or more additional countries sign onto China’s Belt and Road Initiative by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 2 · 2

44%

Chance

Will China, Japan and South Korea hold one or more trilateral economic dialogues by June 30, 2026?

Closing Jun 30, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 2 · 2

99%

Chance

Will a European astronaut participate in a crewed mission to the lunar surface by December 31, 2028?

Closing Jan 01, 2029 05:01AM UTC · 10 · 10

22%

Chance

Will a NASA budget that includes an “Exploration” line item of at least $8.3 billion become law by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 9 · 9

25%

Chance

Will U.S. or Chinese military personnel operate any infrastructure on the Moon or in lunar orbit by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 8 · 8

1%

Chance