RANGE Forecasting

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Astropolitics (4) only
BRICS 2023 (1) only
Democracy (2) only
Geopolitics (9) only
Indo-Pacific (3) only
Technology (2) only
Trade & Economics (3) only

Crowd Forecast

Will a ban procedure against the Alternative for Germany (AfD) be initiated by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 12 · 13

6%

Chance

Will the EU-UK "reset'" agreement enter into force by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 9 · 15

70%

Chance

Will China seize one or more islands, islets or reefs in the South China Sea by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 8 · 12

1%

Chance

Will Marine Le Pen compete in the 2027 French presidential election?

Closing Dec 31, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 12 · 16

32%

Chance

Will the Syrian government ratify a permanent constitution by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 7 · 9

20%

Chance

Will the United States pass a law regulating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 5 · 8

1%

Chance

Will two or more additional countries sign onto China’s Belt and Road Initiative by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 5 · 10

2%

Chance

Will China, Japan and South Korea hold one or more trilateral economic dialogues by June 30, 2026?

Closing Jun 30, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 4 · 7

99%

Chance

This question was generated as part of a BFNA-ESPI expert decomposition exercise

Will a European astronaut participate in a crewed mission to the lunar surface by December 31, 2028?

Closing Jan 01, 2029 05:01AM UTC · 13 · 24

26%

Chance

This question was generated as part of a BFNA-ESPI expert decomposition exercise

Will a NASA budget that includes an “Exploration” line item of at least $8.3 billion become law by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 9 · 14

29%

Chance