RANGE Forecasting

Question

Crowd Forecast

Will two or more additional Indo-Pacific states sign the Artemis Accords by March 31, 2026?

Closing Mar 30, 2026 10:00PM UTC · 4 · 4

9%

Chance

Will the current ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia remain in effect as of March 31, 2026?

Closing Apr 01, 2026 04:01AM UTC · 12 · 15

38%

Chance

Will U.S. tariffs on imports from South Korea, Japan or Taiwan meet or exceed 20% by March 31, 2026?

Closing Apr 01, 2026 04:01AM UTC · 14 · 29

6%

Chance

Will Sanae Takaichi participate in an official visit to the People’s Republic of China by March 31, 2026?

Closing Apr 01, 2026 04:01AM UTC · 17 · 33

0%

Chance

Will the European Union’s annual gross electricity imports from non-EU countries be at least 25% higher in 2026 than in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 3 · 6

16%

Chance

Will Morocco’s annual electricity exports to the EU on Dec. 31, 2026 be at least 15% higher than in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 3 · 6

25%

Chance

Will the US withdraw its rotational forces from Lithuania by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 31 · 52

15%

Chance

Will developed countries deliver USD $200 billion or more in financing to developing countries for climate action between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 07:01AM UTC · 106 · 130

13%

Chance

Will the United States lower tariffs on imports of European steel and aluminum to 25% or less on or before Dec. 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 44 · 88

11%

Chance

Will Germany or Italy develop sovereign launch capabilities by December 31, 2035?

Closing Jan 01, 2036 05:01AM UTC · 9 · 27

53%

Chance

Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Challenges

Select All

Will two or more additional Indo-Pacific states sign the Artemis Accords by March 31, 2026?

9%

Will the current ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia remain in effect as of March 31, 2026?

38%

Will U.S. tariffs on imports from South Korea, Japan or Taiwan meet or exceed 20% by March 31, 2026?

6%

Will Sanae Takaichi participate in an official visit to the People’s Republic of China by March 31, 2026?

0%

Will the European Union’s annual gross electricity imports from non-EU countries be at least 25% higher in 2026 than in 2023?

16%

Will Morocco’s annual electricity exports to the EU on Dec. 31, 2026 be at least 15% higher than in 2023?

25%

Will the US withdraw its rotational forces from Lithuania by December 31, 2026?

15%

Will developed countries deliver USD $200 billion or more in financing to developing countries for climate action between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026?

13%

Will the United States lower tariffs on imports of European steel and aluminum to 25% or less on or before Dec. 31, 2026?

11%

Will Germany or Italy develop sovereign launch capabilities by December 31, 2035?

53%

Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Challenges

Tags

9%

38%

6%

0%

16%

25%

15%

13%

11%

53%