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Geopolitics

How will the latest developments in geopolitics drive the EU-US relationship?

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Crowd Forecast

Will the EU-UK "reset'" agreement enter into force by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 9 · 15

70%

Chance

Will Greece and Türkiye hold a new round of official Cyprus talks by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 6 · 9

23%

Chance

Will the Syrian government ratify a permanent constitution by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 7 · 9

20%

Chance

Will two or more additional countries sign onto China’s Belt and Road Initiative by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 5 · 9

2%

Chance

Will China, Japan and South Korea hold one or more trilateral economic dialogues by June 30, 2026?

Closing Jun 30, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 4 · 7

99%

Chance

Will the percentage of arms imported by European NATO member states from the United States fall below 60% by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC · 43 · 56

21%

Chance

Will the United States announce that it will reduce the number of troops stationed in European NATO member states by 15,000 or more by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 31 · 49

18%

Chance

Will an EU Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) decision be reached through the process of Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) by December 31st, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 58 · 115

14%

Chance

Will Lula da Silva complete his current term as President of Brazil?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 41 · 213

97%

Chance