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Geopolitics

Closing
Feb 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC (10 months)
How will the latest developments in geopolitics drive the EU-US relationship? 

Watch Now: Geopolitics

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Will there be an attempted coup d’état in Moldova by May 1, 2023?

12%

Chance
38 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Feb 23, 2023 02:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be re-elected as President of Türkiye following the presidential election on May 14, 2023?

67%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2023 07:52PM UTC
Closing May 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be president of the Russian Federation before August 31, 2023?

26%

Chance
67 Forecasters • 134 Forecasts
Started Sep 22, 2022 02:14PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC

Will the EU and the US agree to a carbon-based sectoral arrangement on steel and aluminum trade by the end of 2024?

70%

Chance
11 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jun 30, 2022 02:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2023 10:00PM UTC

 Will the EU and the US create a Transatlantic Green Alliance by 2023?

16%

Chance
17 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Jun 30, 2022 02:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2023 10:00PM UTC

Will the EU and/or the U.S. impose economic sanctions against China for circumventing economic sanctions against Russia before June 1, 2023?

22%

Chance
32 Forecasters • 85 Forecasts
Started May 25, 2022 01:53PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
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