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Geopolitics

How will the latest developments in geopolitics drive the EU-US relationship?

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Crowd Forecast

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party maintain a majority of seats in India’s 2024 parliamentary election?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 22 · 77

84%

Chance

Will Narendra Modi be re-elected as Prime Minister in India's 2024 parliamentary elections?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 05:38PM UTC · 23 · 83

89%

Chance

What percentage of Germans will have a favorable opinion of the U.S. in 2024?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC · 25 · 58

Will Russia and Ukraine announce a total ceasefire by August 31, 2024?

Closing Aug 31, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 81 · 104

17%

Chance

Will the U.S. Congress pass an economic and/or military aid package of $60 billion or more to support Ukraine that President Joe Biden then signs into law before the U.S. presidential election?

Closing Nov 04, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 52 · 57

55%

Chance

Will the EU and the US agree to a carbon-based sectoral arrangement on steel and aluminum trade by the end of 2024?

Closing Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 14 · 53

51%

Chance

Will the Mercosur bloc officially announce by December 31, 2024 a date by which its members will begin to use a common currency?

Closing Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 14 · 62

9%

Chance

Will Ukraine be formally invited to join NATO by December 31, 2024?

Closing Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 96 · 121

28%

Chance

Will the next EU Commission include a dedicated Commissioner focused on defense?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 13 · 18

76%

Chance

How many NATO member states will meet the 2% defense spending target in 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 1 · 1