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Geopolitics
How will the latest developments in geopolitics drive the EU-US relationship?
Watch Now: Geopolitics
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BRICS 2023 (4)
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Harvard GAC 2023 (3)
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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Ukraine be formally invited to join NATO by December 31, 2024?
Closing
Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
118
28%
Chance
Will the U.S. Congress pass an economic and/or military aid package of $60 billion or more to support Ukraine that President Joe Biden then signs into law before the U.S. presidential election?
Closing
Nov 04, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
51
·
54
54%
Chance
Will the next EU Commission include a dedicated Commissioner focused on defense?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
12
·
12
77%
Chance
Will the Mercosur bloc officially announce by December 31, 2024 a date by which its members will begin to use a common currency?
Closing
Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
14
·
58
4%
Chance
Will the EU and the US agree to a carbon-based sectoral arrangement on steel and aluminum trade by the end of 2024?
Closing
Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
14
·
51
51%
Chance
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party maintain a majority of seats in India’s 2024 parliamentary election?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
21
·
65
79%
Chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a total ceasefire by August 31, 2024?
Closing
Aug 31, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
80
·
101
17%
Chance
Will Narendra Modi be re-elected as Prime Minister in India's 2024 parliamentary elections?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 05:38PM UTC
·
22
·
75
89%
Chance
Will Lula da Silva complete his current term as President of Brazil?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC
·
19
·
67
81%
Chance
Will an EU Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) decision be reached through the process of Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) by December 31st, 2025?
Closing
Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
47
·
48
44%
Chance
1
2
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