RANGE Forecasting

Question

Crowd Forecast

Will Sanae Takaichi participate in an official visit to the People’s Republic of China by March 31, 2026?

Closing Apr 01, 2026 04:01AM UTC · 3 · 4

3%

Chance

Will the European Union’s annual gross electricity imports from non-EU countries be at least 25% higher in 2026 than in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 2 · 2

76%

Chance

Will Morocco’s annual electricity exports to the EU on Dec. 31, 2026 be at least 15% higher than in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 2 · 2

84%

Chance

Will Ali Khamenei remain in his position as Supreme Leader of Iran as of June 30, 2026?

Closing Feb 13, 2026 07:00PM UTC · 10 · 18

70%

Chance

Will the United States have 1000 or more active-duty troops stationed in Greenland by June 30, 2026?

Closing Feb 13, 2026 06:50PM UTC · 12 · 18

17%

Chance

Will the US withdraw its rotational forces from Lithuania by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 31 · 49

16%

Chance

Will developed countries deliver USD $200 billion or more in financing to developing countries for climate action between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 07:01AM UTC · 106 · 125

15%

Chance

Will the United States lower tariffs on imports of European steel and aluminum to 25% or less on or before Dec. 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 43 · 75

10%

Chance

Will Germany or Italy develop sovereign launch capabilities by December 31, 2035?

Closing Jan 01, 2036 05:01AM UTC · 9 · 25

52%

Chance

Will the Tiangong space station be the only habitable space station in low Earth orbit by December 31, 2031?

Closing Jan 01, 2032 05:01AM UTC · 6 · 16

13%

Chance

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Will Sanae Takaichi participate in an official visit to the People’s Republic of China by March 31, 2026?

3%

Will the European Union’s annual gross electricity imports from non-EU countries be at least 25% higher in 2026 than in 2023?

76%

Will Morocco’s annual electricity exports to the EU on Dec. 31, 2026 be at least 15% higher than in 2023?

84%

Will Ali Khamenei remain in his position as Supreme Leader of Iran as of June 30, 2026?

70%

Will the United States have 1000 or more active-duty troops stationed in Greenland by June 30, 2026?

17%

Will the US withdraw its rotational forces from Lithuania by December 31, 2026?

16%

Will developed countries deliver USD $200 billion or more in financing to developing countries for climate action between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026?

15%

Will the United States lower tariffs on imports of European steel and aluminum to 25% or less on or before Dec. 31, 2026?

10%

Will Germany or Italy develop sovereign launch capabilities by December 31, 2035?

52%

Will the Tiangong space station be the only habitable space station in low Earth orbit by December 31, 2031?

13%

Status

Type

Season

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Challenges

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3%

76%

84%

70%

17%

16%

15%

10%

52%

13%