What will President Biden's approval rating be as of February 28?

Started Feb 01, 2023 03:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons

Context

After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.

Resolution Criteria

The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls

Further Reading

How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval rates
How might Biden's approval rating affect the midterm elections?

Question clarification
Issued on 02/01/23 05:08pm
Thank you for pointing that out, we just went in and adjusted the numbers
Resolution Notes

President Biden's approval rating was 43% on February 28, 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 36% 3%
More than or equal to 36% but less than 38% 3%
More than or equal to 38% but less than 40% 13%
More than or equal to 40% but less than 44% 73%
More than or equal to 44% but less than 46% 7%
More than or equal to 46% but less than 48% 1%
More than or equal to 48% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 17
Number of Forecasts 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 42
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.162
2.
-0.162
3.
-0.157
4.
-0.152
5.
-0.131

Consensus Trend

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