What will President Biden's approval rating be as of November 30?
Started
Nov 01, 2022 02:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.
Resolution Criteria:
The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Further Reading:
How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval rates
How might Biden's approval rating affect the midterm elections?
Resolution Notes
President Biden's approval rating was 41.4% on November 30, 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 30% | 3% | |
More than or equal to 30% but less than 35% | 2% | |
More than or equal to 35% but less than 40% | 28% | |
More than or equal to 40% but less than 45% | 60% | |
More than or equal to 45% but less than 50% | 3% | |
More than or equal to 50% but less than 55% | 1% | |
More than or equal to 55% | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 13 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 17 | |
Number of Forecasts | 19 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 42 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |