What will President Biden's approval rating be as of November 30?

Started Nov 01, 2022 02:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons

Context:

After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office. 

Resolution Criteria:

The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls

Further Reading:

How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval rates

How might Biden's approval rating affect the midterm elections?

Resolution Notes

President Biden's approval rating was 41.4% on November 30, 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 30% 3%
More than or equal to 30% but less than 35% 2%
More than or equal to 35% but less than 40% 28%
More than or equal to 40% but less than 45% 60%
More than or equal to 45% but less than 50% 3%
More than or equal to 50% but less than 55% 1%
More than or equal to 55% 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 13
Average for questions older than 6 months: 17
Number of Forecasts 19
Average for questions older than 6 months: 42
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.127
2.
-0.12
3.
-0.09
4.
-0.08
5.
-0.077

Consensus Trend

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