What will President Biden's approval rate be as of August 31?
Started
Aug 17, 2022 07:42PM UTC
Closed Aug 31, 2022 04:01AM UTC
Closed Aug 31, 2022 04:01AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.
Resolution Criteria:
The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Further Reading:
How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval rates
How might Biden's approval rating affect the midterm elections?
Resolution Notes
Biden had a 42.2% approval rating in FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls on August 31, 2022.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 30% | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 30% but less than 35% | 10% | |
| More than or equal to 35% but less than 40% | 9% | |
| More than or equal to 40% but less than 45% | 70% | |
| More than or equal to 45% but less than 50% | 8% | |
| More than or equal to 50% but less than 55% | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 55% | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 9 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 13 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 46 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
