Will the amount of annual EU member state Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into the United States fall below $2.8 trillion by December 31, 2025?
Started
May 06, 2025 01:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
For decades, the United States has been the largest destination for European foreign direct investment (FDI). EU firms in search of investment opportunities have long looked to the U.S., where the large domestic market and favorable regulatory environment has often produced profitable investments. Overall FDI from European Union member states has steadily increased in recent years, as the two economies have become increasingly intertwined.
Since 2000, EU member state FDI in the U.S. has seen a nearly fourfold increase, reaching $3.46 trillion in 2023. Over the 10-year period between 2014 and 2023, FDI figures averaged approximately $2.8 trillion, reflecting strong European interest in the U.S. market.
However, recent developments could reverse this trend. Under the leadership of President Donald Trump, the U.S. has taken a far more combative economic approach to the European Union. While Trump has continued to encourage foreign investment, his rhetoric toward European states has injected considerable tension into the transatlantic relationship. In turn, this could depress European interest in investing in the U.S.
Resolution Criteria:
This question will resolve positively if the European Union releases figures showing that the total value of EU member state FDI into the United States amounted to less than $2.8 trillion between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025.
Further Reading: