What will President Biden's approval rating be as of December 31?
Started
Dec 01, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.
Resolution Criteria:
The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Further Reading:
How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval ratesResolution Notes
President Biden's approval rating was 39.3% on December 31, 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 37 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 37 but less than 38 | 9% | |
| More than or equal to 38 but less than 39 | 43% | |
| More than or equal to 39 but less than 40 | 39% | |
| More than or equal to 40 but less than 41 | 6% | |
| More than or equal to 41 | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 8 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 29 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 39 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
