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Astropolitics

How will politics, economics and security intersect and evolve in space?

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Crowd Forecast

Will a European astronaut participate in a crewed mission to the lunar surface by December 31, 2028?

Closing Jan 01, 2029 05:01AM UTC · 8 · 8

23%

Chance

Will a NASA budget that includes an “Exploration” line item of at least $8.3 billion become law by December 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 4 · 4

11%

Chance

Will U.S. or Chinese military personnel operate any infrastructure on the Moon or in lunar orbit by December 31, 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:01AM UTC · 7 · 7

1%

Chance

How many Starlink satellites will be in orbit on Dec. 31, 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 34 · 63