Will the Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia) win the most seats in the Italian parliamentary elections on September 25, 2022?
Closed Sep 25, 2022 04:01AM UTC
Context
On July 21, 2022, the Italian parliament was dissolved following the resignation of Prime Minister Mario Draghi. Snap elections were called, and will take place on September 25, 2022. In the most recent Politico Poll of Polls, the Brothers of Italy lead the way with 25% of those surveyed, followed by the Democratic Party (22%), Five Star Movement (13%), Lega (13%) and Forza Italia (7%). The new parliament will have 400 seats, so Giorgia Meloni and her Brothers of Italy party will need to cobble together 201 seats to secure a majority and make her Prime Minister.
Resolution Criteria
This question will be resolved by an announcement of the election results by Corriere della Sera, La Repubblica, and La Stampa. Any discrepancy among the three publications will be superseded by the results published by the Direzione Centrale per i Servizi Elettorali.
Further Reading
Politico EU Poll of Polls - Italy
A far-right politician is poised to become Italy's first female leader
The Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia) won the most seats in the Italian parliamentary elections on September 25, 2022
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85.33% | |
| No | 14.67% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 9 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 9 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 45 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
