Will the EU meet its target of reducing consumption of natural gas by at least 15% between August 1, 2022 and March 31, 2023?

Started Aug 09, 2022 01:38PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Seasons

Context
As a result of the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supply from Russia, European Union member states are being asked to lower their consumption of natural gas by at least 15% between August 1, 2022 and March 31, 2023. EU countries will have to update their national emergency plans and report to the commission every two months on their progress. 

Resolution Criteria
This question resolves positively if at least two major news sources report that the EU has met its target of reducing gas consumption by 15% on or before March 31, 2023. 

Further Reading



Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 66.00%
No 34.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 22
Average for questions older than 6 months: 17
Number of Forecasts 60
Average for questions older than 6 months: 42
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.483
2.
-0.291
3.
-0.271
4.
-0.186
5.
-0.111

Consensus Trend

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