What will be the outcome of Senators Amy Klobuchar and Chuck Grassley's American Innovation and Choice Online Act?

Started Aug 03, 2022 03:58PM UTC
Closed Jan 03, 2023 04:58PM UTC
Challenges

Context
On October 18, 2021, Senators Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) and Chuck Grassley (R-IA) introduced a bipartisan antitrust bill that would prevent dominant digital platforms owned by Big Tech companies from abusing their market power and favoring their products (self-preferencing) over third-party vendors. The legislation targets large companies like Google and Apple and goes in the direction of Europe’s Digital Markets Act (DMA), recently approved by the EU Council in July of 2022.

In January of 2022, the Senate Judiciary Committee voted 16-6 to advance the bill. Sen. Chuck Schumer stated he aimed to put the bill to a vote by early summer but by August 1, Sen. Klobuchar said the bill will not get a vote before the summer recess. There is hope that a vote will take place between the midterm elections on November 8, 2022 and and the end of the 117th Congress on January 3, 2023., though its not much time.

Resolution Criteria
This question will be resolved using at least 3 reputable news sources' reporting on the status of the bill or the bill's Congress.gov site.

Further Reading




Resolution Notes

According to Congress.gov, the Senate did not take this bill to a vote before the 117th Congress concluded on January 3, 2023

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Senate will pass the bill before the midterm elections on November 8 0%
The Senate will pass the bill between the midterm elections on November 8 and the conclusion of the 117th Congress on January 3, 2023 11%
The Senate will take the bill to a vote before the 117th Congress concludes on January 3, 2023 but the bill will not pass 2%
The Senate will not take this bill to a vote before the 117th Congress concludes on January 3, 2023 88%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 3
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 11
Average for questions older than 6 months: 23
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
0.006
2.
0.01
3.
0.028

Consensus Trend

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