What will President Biden's approval rating be as of September 30?
Started
Sep 01, 2023 01:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.
Resolution Criteria:
The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Further Reading:
How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval ratesHow might Biden's approval rating affect the midterm elections?
Resolution Notes
President Biden's approval rating was 40.9% on Sep 30, 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 39 | 0% | |
| More than or equal to 39 but less than 40 | 4% | |
| More than or equal to 40 but less than 41 | 37% | |
| More than or equal to 41 but less than 42 | 58% | |
| More than or equal to 42 but less than 43 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 43 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 12 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 45 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
