Will the EU’s AI Act enter into force by the end of 2023?

Started Jan 12, 2023 03:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons

Context
The AI Act is an artificial intelligence law proposed by the European Commission in 2021. This is the first comprehensive regulatory framework for AI and is part of the EU’s strategy to set worldwide standards on technology regulation. The law aims to ensure that AI systems used in the EU market are safe and respect existing law on fundamental rights and EU values.

The AI Act assigns applications of AI to four risk categories: unacceptable risk, high risk, limited risk and minimal to no risk. Applications and systems that create an unacceptable risk would be banned, such as the government-run social scoring systems used in China. High-risk applications are subject to strict legal requirements before they can be put on the market and include  critical infrastructure, educational training, employment services, such as CV-sorting software, law enforcement, etc. Limited risk systems should follow transparency requirements, i.e. humans should know when they are interacting with AI. The Act allows for free use of minimal risk AI.

The European Council adopted the AI Act’s general approach on December 6, 2022, but the legislation still requires several rounds of reviews. The European Council and European Parliament will enter negotiations in 2023 to reach an agreement on the proposed regulation.

Resolution Criteria
This question resolves positively if the European Commission announces that the EU’s AI Act has entered into force before December 31, 2023.

Further Reading
Resolution Notes

The EU's AI Act did not enter into force by the end of 2023.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 28.00%
No 72.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 17
Number of Forecasts 87
Average for questions older than 6 months: 42
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.552
3.
-0.382
5.
-0.278

Consensus Trend

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username