Will the Trade and Technology Council (TTC) cooperate on outbound investment screening measures by the time of the next ministerial meeting in December 2022?

Started May 24, 2022 01:15PM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2022 06:53PM UTC
Challenges
Seasons

Context
The EU-U.S. Trade and Technology Council (TTC) was launched in September 2021 as a transatlantic platform to address key global trade, economic, and technological issues based on shared democratic values. At their second ministerial meeting in Paris on May 15-16 2022, the joint statement conclusions on investment screening note that the parties “have a shared view on the importance of establishing fully-fledged foreign investment screening mechanisms within their territories and beyond.” However, it remains unclear whether this means that both parties will also cooperate on outbound investment screening measures, which are not explicitly mentioned in the joined statement, but have gained prominence in the U.S. policy debate and are currently under consideration in Congress.


Resolution Criteria
This question will be resolved as having occurred if the joint statement from the next TTC ministerial meeting in December 2022 explicitly mentions cooperation on outbound investment screening.

Further Reading


Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 73.22%
No 26.78%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 9
Average for questions older than 6 months: 17
Number of Forecasts 22
Average for questions older than 6 months: 41
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.117
2.
-0.075
3.
-0.009
4.
0.0

Consensus Trend

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